Archives for February 2020

Investing in International Stocks: More Educational Resources

Want to learn more about investing in markets beyond the US and the S&P 500? Meb Faber of Cambria Investments has a packed Twitter thread summarizing his “6 favorite research pieces of 2019 making the case for global investing”. It may be easier to read in this format. Here are links to the full papers, which I would recommend downloading as PDFs to read and/or reference in case they are later removed. I’ve included one sample graphic from each paper that shows an interesting bit.

Global Investment Returns Yearbook 2019 from Credit Suisse. Chart showing how greatly the markets changed from 1900 to 2019.

Global equity investing: The benefits of diversification and sizing your allocation from Vanguard. Chart showing the historical cap weighting of US vs. international stock markets.

A New Perspective on Geographical Diversification: Revenue Exposure by Region from Morningstar. Chart showing how much revenue came from inside the home country where the companies are based.

Guide to International Investing: How to Go Global in an Uncertain World from Capital Group. Chart showing the different dividend yields of developed international and emerging market companies and indexes.

Geographic Diversification Can Be a Lifesaver, Yet Most Portfolios Are Highly Geographically Concentrated from Bridgewater Associates. Chart of how country-specific equity performance varied widely across decades.

Are Valuations Now Irrelevant? from Research Affiliates. Chart of their projected long-term returns based on current valuations. What has lagged recently often has the best future prospects.

Which Car Models Do Owners Keep Forever?

Used car website iSeeCars.com commissioned a study of over 350,000 cars from the 1981-2004 model years to determine which Cars People Keep the Longest. Here are the Top 15 vehicles ranked by how many of the original owners kept them for at least 15 years:

Out of the Top 15 spots, 10 were from Toyota, 4 from Honda, and 1 from Subaru. The Toyota Highlander midsize SUV had nearly 1 in 5 original owners (18.3%) keep it at least 15 years, which is more than double the overall average (2.4x). The Toyota Sienna also has double the average rate of 15+ year original ownership. In this peak age of 3-year leases, 15 years feels like forever!

It is a widely-known fact that Toyotas are above-average in reliability. However, this survey isn’t specifically about what cars are still on the road after 15 years. It’s about people who buy a brand new Toyota/Honda and keep the same car for 15 years. Are these just random people who buy a new Toyota and then not replace it because it never breaks down? Or are they a self-selected group of practical-minded people who plan on buying a car and owning it forever, and thus choose a Toyota? Perhaps they simply hate the car-buying experience? Or maybe it’s just the stereotype that they are bought by old, boring people *cough*.

I was a little surprised that Ford F-150 trucks are not on the list. These are usually the best-selling vehicle in the country, so people must think that they have some level of quality. They are expressly mentioned in the bestselling book The Millionaire Next Door as the car most commonly owned by “real world” millionaires. However, if you look further down in the study, you will find that the Ford F-150 is below average and the light-duty truck that is least likely to be kept for 15 years. For some reason, people are more likely to replace their Ford F-150 than any other truck! Meanwhile, the Toyota Tacoma and Toyota Tundra are at the very top of the long-term ownership list by a solid margin. I wonder if Toyota Tundra owners in fact have a higher probability of being a millionaire?

I will admit, I chose a Toyota Sienna over the Honda Odyssey (and all the other brands) for my current car after reading about how their slow-and-methodical engineering process is specifically designed for maximum reliability. I simply hate the inconvenience of having to visit the mechanic shop, and am willing to give up sportiness and luxury at this point in my life.